TAFF Roadmap – EIA Submission
Contribution to the CoP30 Presidency Roadmap on the Transition Away from Fossil Fuels in a Just, Orderly and Equitable Manner
Countries have already signalled positive intent towards the energy transition, including many that called for a roadmap to phasing out fossil fuels to be adopted as a formal outcome at the 30th Conference of the Parties (CoP30). Political momentum has continued to build on the first Global Stocktake (GST-1) adopted during CoP28, where the global community formally recognised for the first time the need to phase out fossil fuels in energy systems to reach net zero by 2050. Governments have joined coalitions of the willing, such as the Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance (BOGA), the Powering Past Coal Alliance (PPCA) or the Coalition on phasing out of Fossil Fuel Incentives Including Subsidies (COFFIS), while others joined the call for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty or took on leadership roles in international negotiations and other institutional processes.
However, this momentum has yet to translate into meaningful implementation. Commitments continue to coexist with ongoing fossil-fuel expansion. According to the 2025 Production Gap Report, governments still plan to produce 120% more fossil fuels by 2030 than is compatible with the 1.5°C target – and 360% more by 2050 – pushing the world toward climate catastrophe and irreversible tipping points.
This disconnect reflects a structural gap in the current framework. While the Paris Agreement and GST-1 share a common direction, they do not equip countries with the tools required to implement them. They do not define how to phase out fossil fuels, coordinate supply-side action, or align finance and technical assistance. The challenge is therefore no longer ambition-setting, but delivery. The Brazilian-led Roadmap for transitioning away from fossil fuels in a just, orderly and equitable manner offers a great opportunity to identify both the barriers to implementation and the levers required to overcome them, while reflecting differentiated national circumstances.